Hirsch's Citation Index and Limit Shape of Random Partitions

PGR-P-243

Key facts

Type of research degree: PhD
Application deadline: Ongoing deadline
Country eligibility: International (open to all nationalities, including the UK)
Funding: Competition funded
Supervisors: Dr Leonid Bogachev and Dr Jochen Voss
Schools: School of Mathematics
Research groups/institutes: Statistics

<h2 class="heading hide-accessible">Summary</h2>

Integer partitions appear in numerous areas of mathematics and its applications. This classic research topic dates back to Euler, Cauchy, Cayley, Lagrange, Hardy and Ramanujan. The modern statistical approach is to treat partitions as a random ensemble endowed with a suitable probability measure. The uniform (equiprobable) case is well understood but more interesting models (e.g., with certain weights on the components) are mathematically more challenging. Hirsch introduced his h-index to measure the quality of a researcher's output, defined as the largest integer n such that the person has h papers with at least h citations each. The h-index has become quite popular. Recently, Yong [6] proposed a statistical approach to estimate the h-index using a natural link with the theory of integer partitions [1]. Namely, identifying an integer partition with its Young diagram (with blocks representing parts), it is clear that the h-index is the size of the largest h x h square that fits in. If partitions of a given integer N are treated as random, with uniform distribution (i.e., all such partitions are assumed to be equally likely), then their Young diagrams have limit shape. Yong's idea is to use the limit shape to deduce certain statistical properties of the h-index. In particular, it follows that the typical value of Hirsch's index for someone with a large number N of citations should be close to 0.54 N. However, the assumption of uniform distribution on partitions is of course rather arbitrary, and needs to be tested statistically. This issue is important since the limit shape may strongly depend on the distribution of partitions [2], which would also affect the asymptotics of Hirsch's index. Thus, the idea of this project is to explore such an extension of Yong's approach. To this end, one might try and apply Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques, whereby the uniform distribution may serve as an uninformed prior. These and similar ideas have a potential to be extended beyond the citation topic, and may offer an interesting blend of theoretical and more applied issues, with a possible gateway to further applications of discrete probability and statistics in social sciences. Successful candidates should have a good degree in mathematics and/or statistics. Programming skills to carry out MCMC simulations would be useful but not essential, as the appropriate training will be provided.

<h2 class="heading hide-accessible">Full description</h2>

Integer partitions appear in numerous areas of mathematics and its applications — from number theory, algebra and topology to quantum physics, statistics, population genetics, and IT. This classic research topic dates back to Euler, Cauchy, Cayley, Lagrange, Hardy and Ramanujan. The modern statistical approach is to treat partitions as a random ensemble endowed with a suitable probability measure. The uniform (equiprobable) case is well understood but more interesting models (e.g., with certain weights on the components) are mathematically more challenging. Hirsch [3] introduced his h-index to measure the quality of a researcher's output, defined as the largest integer h such that the person has h papers with at least h citations each. The h-index has become quite popular (see, e.g., 'Google Scholar' or 'Web of Science'). Recently, Yong [6] proposed a statistical approach to estimate the h-index using a natural link with the theory of integer partitions [1]. Namely, identifying an integer partition with its Young diagram (with blocks representing parts), it is clear that the h-index is the size of the largest h x h square that fits in. If partitions of a given integer N are treated as random, with uniform distribution (i.e., all such partitions are assumed to be equally likely), then their Young diagrams have "limit shape" (under the suitable scaling), first identified by Vershik [5]. Yong's idea is to use the limit shape to deduce certain statistical properties of the h-index. In particular, it follows that the "typical" value of Hirsch's index for someone with a large number N of citations should be close to 0.54 N. However, the assumption of uniform distribution on partitions is of course rather arbitrary, and needs to be tested statistically. This issue is important since the limit shape may strongly depend on the distribution of partitions [2], which would also affect the asymptotics of Hirsch's index. Thus, the idea of this project is to explore such an extension of Yong's approach. To this end, one might try and apply Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques [4], whereby the uniform distribution may serve as an "uninformed prior". These and similar ideas have a potential to be extended beyond the citation topic, and may offer an interesting blend of theoretical and more applied issues, with a possible gateway to further applications of discrete probability and statistics in social sciences. References <ol> <li>Andrews, G.E. and Eriksson, K. Integer Partitions. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 2004.</li> <li>Bogachev, L.V. Unified derivation of the limit shape for multiplicative ensembles of random integer partitions with equiweighted parts. Random Struct. Algorithms, 47 (2015), 227–266. (<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/rsa.20540">doi:10.1002/rsa.20540</a>)</li> <li>Hirsch, J.E. An index to quantify an individual's scientific research output. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 102 (2005), 16569–16572. (<a href="https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0507655102">doi:10.1073/pnas.0507655102</a>)</li> <li>Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice (W.R. Gilks, S. Richardson and D.J. Spiegelhalter, eds.). Chapman & Hall/CRC, London, 1996.</li> <li>Vershik, A.M. Asymptotic combinatorics and algebraic analysis. In: Proc. Intern. Congress Math. 1994, vol. 2. Birkhäuser, Basel, 1995, pp. 1384–1394. (<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-0348-9078-6_133">doi:10.1007/978-3-0348-9078-6_133</a>)</li> <li>Yong, A. Critique of Hirsch's citation index: a combinatorial Fermi problem. Notices Amer. Math. Soc., 61 (2014), 1040–1050. (<a href="https://doi.org//10.1090/noti1164">doi:/10.1090/noti1164</a>)</li> </ol>

<h2 class="heading">How to apply</h2>

Formal applications for research degree study should be made online through the <a href="https://www.leeds.ac.uk/research-applying/doc/applying-research-degrees">University's website</a>. Please state clearly in the Planned Course of Study that you are applying for PHD Statistics FT and in the research information section that the research degree you wish to be considered for is Hirsch's Citation Index and Limit Shape of Random Partitions as well as <a href="https://eps.leeds.ac.uk/maths/staff/4008/dr-leonid-bogachev">Dr Leonid Bogachev</a> as your proposed supervisor. Successful candidates should have a good degree in mathematics and/or statistics. Programming skills to carry out MCMC simulations would be useful but not essential, as the appropriate training will be provided. You will be based within a strong research group in <a href="https://eps.leeds.ac.uk/maths-statistics/doc/probability-financial-mathematics">Probability and Financial Mathematics</a>. If English is not your first language, you must provide evidence that you meet the University's minimum English language requirements (below). As an international research-intensive university, we welcome students from all walks of life and from across the world. We foster an inclusive environment where all can flourish and prosper, and we are proud of our strong commitment to student education. Across all Faculties we are dedicated to diversifying our community and we welcome the unique contributions that individuals can bring, and particularly encourage applications from, but not limited to Black, Asian, people who belong to a minority ethnic community, people who identify as LGBT+ and people with disabilities. Applicants will always be selected based on merit and ability. Applications will be considered on an ongoing basis. Potential applicants are strongly encouraged to contact the supervisors for an informal discussion before making a formal application. We also advise that you apply at the earliest opportunity as the application and selection process may close early, should we receive a sufficient number of applications or that a suitable candidate is appointed. Please note that you must provide the following documents at the point you submit your application: <ul> <li>Full Transcripts of all degree study or if in final year of study, full transcripts to date</li> <li>Personal Statement outlining your interest in the project</li> <li>CV</li> <li>Funding information including any alternative sources of funding that you are applying for or if you are able to pay your own fees and maintenance</li> </ul>

<h2 class="heading heading--sm">Entry requirements</h2>

Applicants to research degree programmes should normally have at least a first class or an upper second class British Bachelors Honours degree (or equivalent) in an appropriate discipline. The criteria for entry for some research degrees may be higher, for example, several faculties, also require a Masters degree. Applicants are advised to check with the relevant School prior to making an application. Applicants who are uncertain about the requirements for a particular research degree are advised to contact the School or Graduate School prior to making an application.

<h2 class="heading heading--sm">English language requirements</h2>

The minimum English language entry requirement for research postgraduate research study is an IELTS of 6.0 overall with at least 5.5 in each component (reading, writing, listening and speaking) or equivalent. The test must be dated within two years of the start date of the course in order to be valid. Some schools and faculties have a higher requirement.

<h2 class="heading">Funding on offer</h2>

Self-Funded or externally sponsored students are welcome to apply. UK – The <a href="https://phd.leeds.ac.uk/funding/209-leeds-doctoral-scholarships-2022">Leeds Doctoral Scholarships</a> and <a href="https://phd.leeds.ac.uk/funding/234-leeds-opportunity-research-scholarship-2022">Leeds Opportunity Research Scholarship</a> are available to UK applicants. <a href="https://phd.leeds.ac.uk/funding/60-alumni-bursary">Alumni Bursary</a> is available to graduates of the University of Leeds. Non-UK – The <a href="https://phd.leeds.ac.uk/funding/48-china-scholarship-council-university-of-leeds-scholarships-2021">China Scholarship Council - University of Leeds Scholarship</a> is available to nationals of China. The <a href="https://phd.leeds.ac.uk/funding/73-leeds-marshall-scholarship">Leeds Marshall Scholarship</a> is available to support US citizens. <a href="https://phd.leeds.ac.uk/funding/60-alumni-bursary">Alumni Bursary</a> is available to graduates of the University of Leeds. Important: Any costs associated with your arrival at the University of Leeds to start your PhD including flights, immigration health surcharge/medical insurance and Visa costs are not covered under these studentships. Please refer to the <a href="https://www.ukcisa.org.uk/">UKCISA</a> website for information regarding Fee Status for Non-UK Nationals.

<h2 class="heading">Contact details</h2>

For further information about your application, please contact Doctoral College Admissions: e: <a href="mailto:maps.pgr.admissions@leeds.ac.uk">maps.pgr.admissions@leeds.ac.uk</a> For further information about this project, please contact Dr Leonid Bogachev: e: <a href="mailto:L.V.Bogachev@leeds.ac.uk">L.V.Bogachev@leeds.ac.uk</a>

<h3 class="heading heading--sm">Linked research areas</h3>